Etisalat’s preliminary 2016 financial statements are available at the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange. Earnings per share for 2016 operations? Dh0.97. Proposed dividends per share? Dh0.80. This gives a payout ratio of 82 per cent. Rationally, your payout ratio is high when you do not believe that there are any opportunities to invest in and so return cash generated to the shareholders.
Etisalat’s dividend policy would suggest that it does not see growth opportunities and therefore expects to simply be a yield play. This refers to business operations and not market price movements. Whether Etisalat is being rational in expecting the economy to stagnate, or worse, and is therefore taking a defensive cash position, or on the other hand is in denial and simply continuing to pay a historical dividend even though the payout ratio is high will be revealed by its stated strategy that it presents at the shareholders’ meeting.
If the strategy is defensive, closing certain operations or at least remaining steady, then the stated strategy will be consistent with the dividend strategy. If, on the other hand, Etisalat presents a transformation strategy or even an expansionary strategy, then this will be inconsistent with its dividend policy.
The suspense is unbearable.