There seems to be a strong belief that playing poker teaches people how to invest or run a business. This is of course nonsense. The mathematics behind poker is complex and needs years of formal study to understand the game. The more appropriate notion is that a strong understanding of game playing is extremely useful to investing and business.
The branch of mathematics relevant to game playing is not, as most believe, probability but is called, not surprisingly, game theory. Game theory was made famous by the film A Beautiful Mind, depicting the life of one of the main developers of this mathematical field.
In this article I’d like to address just one facet of a successful poker strategy and that is bluffing. Somehow bluffing has taken on the connotation of lying or otherwise being dishonest. Many of the proponents of “poker as a substitute for an education” believe that this gives them license to be dishonest in their business dealing, in particular in negotiations. Their interpretation is wrong both mathematically and ethically. They might not care about the ethics, but from a mathematical point of view, lying is extremely sub-optimal and completely misses the point.
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