Jawbone lessons

Jawbone, best known for fitness wearable technology, went into liquidation last month in part because of too much funding, according to CNBC. I believe that this is a good case study for some of the companies in the GCC that receive easy funding. Too often, certain investments are deemed strategic and then there is a blind mandate to fund them at any cost. One of the most frequent cases is the legacy business of a family conglomerate. Although other business lines might be doing fine and the commercially rational decision is to liquidate the legacy business, there is too much emotion tied to it. Often there is the belief that the loss of the legacy business would signal an unacceptable loss of face.

Of course if that funding is never-ending, you end up with zombie companies as the negative cash flows from operations and investing are offset by positive cash flows from funding, forever. This is why it is extremely important to look at the cash-flow statement. I have seen actual financial statements of large companies show that new debt funding is not only being used to pay for operations, an unsustainable situation, but to also pay off maturing debt. When you start using debt to pay for debt you’re in trouble.

The way this is explained to boards is that a certain debt is being matched to a certain activity. This is, of course, baloney – a proper analysis looks at the aggregate. If operating plus investment cash flows are negative and there is maturing debt it can only be paid off via more funding, be it equity or debt.

Sabah al-Binali is an active investor and entrepreneurial leader with a track record of growing companies in the Mena region. You can read more on his Twitter feed or for deeper analysis on LinkedIn and al-binali.com.

Scaling Profits

Why do so many start ups manage to reach cash flow break even and often manage to break through that barrier but then get stuck in terms of growing their profits much more than that?

Arguably the number one reason is that entrepreneurs have a fear of failure. This is normal, only sociopaths and narcissists feel no fear. The problem lies in an inability to overcome that fear and manage the business in way that balances fear of risk with the equally important requirement to make a return. Continue reading

Breaking the cash flow break even barrier

I recently covered the challenges of managing negative cash flows. Breaking through the cash flow break even barrier is a completely different matter. Start ups seem to reach this point and never leave it, a gravitational black hole not unlike the friend zone. Understanding this statistical anomaly requires a mix of finance and psychology.

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Cost Management Insights for Entrepreneurs

My basic philosophy on business is that opportunities and challenges are continuously presented to us and we need to respond appropriately. When it comes to managing challenges it makes sense to prepare in advance. My experience is that many entrepreneurs have difficulty doing this at two key points: right after a round of funding and when their business goes cash flow positive. The idea of saving for a rainy day goes right out the window and the dangerous assumption that the business will never go cash flow negative again sets in. This has destroyed many a promising start up.

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Managing Negative Cash Flows

All entrepreneurs and many executives face in their professional careers the dreaded negative cash flow scenario.

For entrepreneurs this is a normal phase going from start up to, hopefully, mature company. For CEOs it can happen during an economic downturn or if the company had previously made serious mistakes or faced a catastrophe.

The underlying mistake that these managers nearly all make is to consider cash flow break even as a goal. It is a milestone. The goal, of course, is a pre-agreed return on equity (ROE). There might be many more milestones, such as cost per unit and number of customers, but ROE is the target. Continue reading